Penumbra Risk is the framework for General Counsel, boards, and compliance officers to quantify institutional exposure from partially-visible AI agents.
Between an agent's autonomous action and the institutional decision meant to govern it lies a penumbra zone. Penumbra Risk turns that partial visibility into a clear metric — so General Counsel, boards, and compliance can act on evidence, not assumptions.
The paper formalizes penumbra risk as a function of three variables — probability, consequence, and opacity — and proposes a verification protocol for engineering and legal teams.
Publication awaiting peer reviewA governance checklist with PDF export, QR code, and Community Record. Currently available in English.
Open the toolIn collaboration — with invaluable technical insights from Ben Ogden
Ecuadorian attorney and legal-tech founder based in Washington, D.C. Daniela advises institutions on AI governance and institutional risk, and created the Penumbra Risk framework to help General Counsel, boards, and compliance teams quantify exposure from AI agents operating with partial visibility.
Ben provided the technical implementation of Penumbra Risk's tooling and governance checklist — and invaluable insights on the tool's implementation and design.